Interactive:
100 years of All Blacks dominance
By Dylan Cleaver. Data analysis by Harkanwal Singh
6:00
PM Tuesday Sep 22, 2015
The All
Blacks have won 197 tests and lost just 37 during the professional era. Photo /
Getty Images
The most phenomenal achievement of the All Blacks has been to
maintain their primacy once the game went professional.
Conventional wisdom of the day went something like this: the All
Blacks were, in terms of attitude and preparation, a professional team in an
amateur era and once the game went fully professional, the rest of the world
would quickly catch up.
"It was something I can distinctly remember talking about with the guys," said Justin Marshall, All Black halfback from 1995, the last year of amateurism, to 2005. "It was a genuine concern.
"Here we had this provincial championship that was the envy
of the world, and we were diluting that to play Super 12, where the South
Africans and Australians would be exposed to the skills and habits of our best
players on a weekly basis."
"We thought the gap would close very quickly."
For a while it looked as though that prophecy might turn out to
be true. Australia enjoyed a golden age during what we might call the John
Eales era, and it took until 2011 for the All Blacks to win a World Cup in the
professional era.
But the All Blacks test record has remained largely
unimpeachable since 1996, despite more riches available in France and England
in particular.
New Zealand rugby cannot compete on price with clubs in England,
France, Ireland and Japan, but through strict eligibility clauses and clever
harvesting of the All Black "legacy" they have managed to retain most
of their best players and keep winning. Their record hit perfect status in
2013, with 14 tests and 14 wins.
In the amateur era, the All Blacks won 71.2 per cent of their
tests, while drawing a surprisingly high 5.1 per cent of tests.
This is an outstanding record, obviously, but you could also
argue that rugby meant more to the national psyche of New Zealand than any
other team they encountered outside South Africa. That passion and unstinting
dedication to the sport meant New Zealanders were more innovative and
'professional' than their opponents.
In 1995, rugby was undergoing seismic shifts. The World Cup in
South Africa was a unifying, uplifting tournament and in Jonah Lomu rugby had
its first truly global superstar.
Pay TV services, such as Sky, were aggressively pushing into new
markets and sport was the common battleground.
Kerry Packer didn't have rugby and he wanted it, much like he
wanted cricket in the late-70s. Ross Turnbull was sent out as Packer's envoy
and he very formed a breakaway to match that of the original World Series
Cricket. Popular legend would have it that the late Jock Hobbs managed to talk
the All Blacks' two brightest stars - Josh Kronfeld and Jeff Wilson - into
staying loyal to the then NZRFU and the proposed World Rugby Corporation folded
in on itself from there.
Establishment-back rugby was instead sold to Rupert Murdoch and
pals, turned professional and became what could be known as the test-match age.
Tours, the likes of which made the All Blacks, Springboks and lions famous,
were effectively over and instead hemispherical tournaments took precedence.
A tour to or from the Springboks was once an almost mystical -
or in the case of 1981, hysterical - experience, New Zealand now found
themselves in the Republic more times than they would ever care to wish.
South Africa is an interesting case in point. By far and away
New Zealand's toughest 'amateur' opponent, the All Blacks' post-professional
record against South Africa has improved.
John Kirwan fends off Jeremy Guscott as the All Blacks face the British and Irish Lions in Wellington in 1993.
Before 1996, New Zealand and South Africa met 42 times: the Boks
won 21 of those tests with three drawn. They have played 48 times since 1996
with the All Blacks winning 34 times and no draws.
So the All Blacks have won 52 times in 90 tests - a very good
record against our traditional arch-rivals and one that has only got better
since rugby went professional.
In fact, it is indicative of New Zealand's professional record
as a whole.
That is a win percentage of 83.1 per cent in the professional
era, more than 12 points better than their amateur record. Even accounting for
the fact that World Cups mean you face more minnows in the modern era than you
did in the past, it is a stunning result.
As you can see by the final table below, the All Blacks
professional pre-eminence has lifted the overall win percentage to a tick under
77 per cent.
The obvious question is, why? Why hasn't the advent of
professionalism raised the bar uniformly among rugby's test-playing elite. Why
hasn't New Zealand's inability to match the amount of money in bigger markets
hurt them. We are not, it should be noted, in professional rugby's infancy any
longer.
The answer is elusive, but there are some sound theories.
Money only gets you a stake at the table. It's what you do with
it that counts. In other words, the English and French leagues might be awash
with pounds and euros, but is that money actually helping the national side?
It's just as likely to be lining the pockets of second-tier international
players than assisting England or Les Bleus get better.
Second, professionalism does not take into account the
intangibles.
To use a loose example: Scotland's players are just as
professional as the All Blacks now in most respects. They train hard and have
access to the latest sports science theories and practices. They should not,
theoretically, be any more tired in the final 20 minutes of a test than the All
Blacks.
They also have access to top quality coaching so, in those
realms of rugby that remain technically driven and largely static - that is to
say, the set pieces - they should be as strong and close to as proficient.
But you'd back the All Blacks to beat Scotland every time. Why? Because they have players that can win you games through a piece of brilliance; Scotland don't.
"It wasn't until I played overseas that I realised the true
advantage New Zealand has," Marshall said. "It's our forwards: their
ball skills, intelligence, speed at which they play and the way they read the
game is miles ahead of anywhere else.
"Yes, South Africa are physical, but they still try to run
over you. I look at somebody like Schalk Burger and it's really only in the
past few years that he has tried to add ball-playing to his tremendous physical
assets.
"England haven't caught up yet and probably won't for a
while to come."
In terms of France and England, Marshall believes the
promotion-relegation element of their top leagues work against the ideals of
open, running rugby. As soon as a couple of games are lost, coaches go into
their shells and revert to low-risk rugby, which stifles innovation and
ball-playing.
"Speed, power, endurance - New Zealand forwards are
probably no stronger here and might even be a little weaker, than some teams.
We're just more skillful than the rest."
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